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2016 GOP Presidential Election

Here’s the simplified summary of the 2016 GOP race: Donald Trump still holds a commanding 23% lead over the GOP candidates, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina are trailing behind with 13 percent of national support, and Marco Rubio sits at 9 percent after the last Republican debate.Why does Donald Trump have all this support?  He is a different kind of political figure, or maybe it’s because he isn’t a politician at all.  Labeling Mexican immigrants “rapists” and making misogynistic remarks have not deterred his supporters. In the summer, Trump enjoyed a steady climb to the top while Jeb Bush slowly faded to obscurity.  Trump doesn’t seem to care that he is angering Hispanic voters with the rhetoric of building border wall because he is gambling he will win the support of millions of white Americans.  However, will the rise of Hispanic voters keep a GOP candidate from winning the 2016 election? Carson and Fiorina, grouped as the other non-political figures in this race, are candidates to lookout for.  Fiorina, the fired CEO of Hewlett-Packard, successfully distinguished herself after the recent GOP debate with her testy exchanges with Donald Trump and her attacks directed at Planned Parenthood.  Another Republican hopeful, Ben Carson, had a surge of support since the first GOP debate along with the controversy over his statement saying that he would oppose a Muslim in becoming president.  Carson and Fiorina belong to the two groups—African American and women—Republicans have difficulty with winning.  Carson has outstanding ratings among self-identified Republicans; 68 percent have a favorable opinion while only 14 percent have an unfavorable rating.  Among African Americans, Carson has a 50 percent unfavorable to 36 percent favorable view.  The GOP has ground to make up if it wants to recruit Latinos and African Americans.  GOP candidates walk a thin line among Latino voters.  In fact, immigration is a very important and delicate issue because the Latino and Asian-American voter population grew considerably since 2012, and one mistake that Mitt Romney made in 2012 was that his anti-immigrant stance lost him many those voters.  Now the GOP candidates are being vague enough to appeal to staunch Republican supporters without alienating the general election voters.  Many of them share the general view to secure the border and oppose President Obama’s executive actions, so specific immigration policy questions are open to interpretation.